Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.045479 0.049517 0.053613 0.058072 0.062781 0.067601 0.072900
2025-01-12 0.038628 0.044486 0.050652 0.057597 0.065176 0.073171 0.082216
2025-01-19 0.034227 0.041460 0.049323 0.058446 0.068678 0.079740 0.092545
2025-01-26 0.029882 0.038002 0.047107 0.057963 0.070443 0.084233 0.100516
2025-02-02 0.026757 0.035594 0.045788 0.058240 0.072865 0.089330 0.109097
2025-02-09 0.024610 0.034105 0.045339 0.059357 0.076128 0.095309 0.118660
2025-02-16 0.023455 0.033684 0.046052 0.061765 0.080857 0.102975 0.130207
2025-02-23 0.020326 0.030529 0.043205 0.059667 0.080040 0.104008 0.133910
2025-03-02 0.018222 0.028518 0.041626 0.058982 0.080811 0.106832 0.139660
2025-03-09 0.016482 0.026845 0.040353 0.058570 0.081824 0.109882 0.145640
2025-03-16 0.015884 0.026675 0.040994 0.060570 0.085837 0.116590 0.156074
2025-03-23 0.014994 0.026023 0.040938 0.061623 0.088627 0.121794 0.164698
2025-03-30 0.014030 0.025228 0.040679 0.062433 0.091171 0.126798 0.173238
2025-04-06 0.012727 0.023840 0.039532 0.062002 0.092077 0.129744 0.179255
2025-04-13 0.011974 0.023223 0.039417 0.062933 0.094747 0.134923 0.188087
2025-04-20 0.010860 0.021960 0.038311 0.062445 0.095502 0.137645 0.193840
2025-04-27 0.010071 0.021148 0.037805 0.062747 0.097281 0.141668 0.201241
2025-05-04 0.009586 0.020793 0.037941 0.063929 0.100233 0.147208 0.210594
2025-05-11 0.009487 0.021072 0.039024 0.066467 0.105048 0.155207 0.223143
2025-05-18 0.008228 0.019268 0.036860 0.064260 0.103311 0.154597 0.224617
2025-05-25 0.007428 0.018196 0.035759 0.063540 0.103575 0.156585 0.229420
2025-06-01 0.006758 0.017299 0.034883 0.063106 0.104204 0.159034 0.234816
2025-06-08 0.006659 0.017461 0.035703 0.065213 0.108423 0.166303 0.246549